Bangor Aberconwy · Wales
No realistic route to centre-right victory in Bangor Aberconwy at present
Neither centre-right party is currently close enough to the projected winner in this constituency for tactical voting between them to be likely to change the result.
In this constituency, vote for the party you actually want.
Changed from “Too close to call” on 7 October 2026.
Con–Reform gap: 2.6 points — inside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
2.6 ptsCon–Reform gap
20.7 ptsBehind Plaid Cymru
HighConfidence
Why this result?
- Even if 80% of the weaker centre-right party’s vote transferred, the combined total would still fall 7.7 points short of Plaid Cymru.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 11.8 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog