Vote Right

Bexleyheath and Crayford · England

Vote Reform UK in Bexleyheath and Crayford

Reform UK is currently the strongest centre-right party in this constituency and has the clearest route to winning.

Con–Reform gap: 10.0 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.

10.0 ptsCon–Reform gap
LeadingProjected position
HighConfidence

Why this result?

  1. Reform UK leads the Conservatives by 10 points on current projections.
  2. Reform UK is narrowly ahead in this competitive seat; the projected margin is small.
  3. In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 4.9 points.

High confidence · Model v1.2 published 7 October 2026 · Data to 7 October 2026

Spotted an error on this page? Tell us.

This is for factual corrections, not for arguing the recommendation. Any correction which changes a result or recommendation will be explained in our next update.

Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog