Blaydon and Consett · England

Vote Reform UK in Blaydon and Consett

Reform UK is the stronger centre-right party in this constituency and has a realistic route to winning it if enough Conservative voters switch (that is, vote tactically).

Labour38.1%

Reform UK36.5%

Conservative11.5%

Green9.3%

Liberal Democrat4.3%

Con–Reform gap: 25.0 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.

25.0 ptsCon–Reform gap

1.6 ptsBehind Labour

HighConfidence

Why this result?

Reform UK leads the Conservatives by 25 points on current projections.
Reform UK is projected 1.6 points behind Labour; a consolidated centre-right vote is projected to overtake Labour.
In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 26.4 points.

High confidence · Model v1.2 published 7 October 2026 · Data to 7 October 2026

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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog