Brighton Pavilion · England
No realistic route to centre-right victory in Brighton Pavilion at present
Neither centre-right party is currently close enough to the projected winner in this constituency for tactical voting between them to be likely to change the result.
In this constituency, vote for the party you actually want.
Con–Reform gap: 1.9 points — inside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
1.9 ptsCon–Reform gap
61.1 ptsBehind Green
HighConfidence
Why this result?
- Even if 80% of the weaker centre-right party’s vote transferred, the combined total would still fall 57.2 points short of the Green Party.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by the Green Party with a majority of 27.3 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog