Castle Point · England

Vote Reform UK in Castle Point

Reform UK is ahead of the Conservatives and other parties in this constituency and is currently projected to win this seat.

Reform UK44.1%

Conservative29.1%

Labour16.8%

Green7.5%

Liberal Democrat2.5%

Con–Reform gap: 15.1 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.

15.1 ptsCon–Reform gap

LeadingProjected position

HighConfidence

Why this result?

Reform UK leads the Conservatives by 15.1 points on current projections.
Reform UK is currently projected to win this seat with a clear margin.
In July 2024 this seat was won by the Conservatives with a majority of 8 points.

High confidence · Model v1.2 published 7 October 2026 · Data to 7 October 2026

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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog