Cities of London and Westminster · England
Vote Conservatives in Cities of London and Westminster
The Conservatives are the stronger centre-right party in this constituency and have a realistic route to winning it if enough Reform UK voters switch (that is, vote tactically).
Con–Reform gap: 16.7 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
16.7 ptsCon–Reform gap
4.4 ptsBehind Labour
HighConfidence
Why this result?
- The Conservatives lead Reform UK by 16.7 points on current projections.
- The Conservatives are projected 4.4 points behind Labour; a consolidated centre-right vote is projected to overtake Labour.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 6.9 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog