Fylde · England
Too close to call in Fylde
The Conservatives and Reform UK are level in this constituency within our model’s margin of uncertainty or error — we cannot recommend one over the other at present.
We encourage you to check here again as polling, candidates and local evidence develop and a general election approaches.
Con–Reform gap: 0.0 points — inside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
0.0 ptsCon–Reform gap
LeadingProjected position
HighConfidence
Why this result?
- The Conservatives and Reform UK are 0 points apart — inside our model’s 7-point margin of uncertainty or error.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by the Conservatives with a majority of 1.2 points.
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This is for factual corrections, not for arguing the recommendation. Any correction which changes a result or recommendation will be explained in our next update.
Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog