Hexham · England
Vote Conservatives in Hexham
The Conservatives are the stronger centre-right party in this constituency and have a realistic route to winning it if enough Reform UK voters switch (that is, vote tactically).
Changed from “No realistic route to centre-right victory at present” on 3 September 2026.
Con–Reform gap: 7.3 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
7.3 ptsCon–Reform gap
3.6 ptsBehind Labour
MediumConfidence
Why this result?
- The Conservatives lead Reform UK by 7.3 points on current projections.
- The Conservatives are projected 3.6 points behind Labour; a consolidated centre-right vote is projected to overtake Labour.
- Reform UK did not stand in this constituency in 2024, so its projection here is estimated from the national picture and is less reliable.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 7.2 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog