Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland · England
Vote Conservatives in Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland
The Conservatives are currently the strongest centre-right party in this constituency and have the clearest route to winning.
Con–Reform gap: 10.1 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
10.1 ptsCon–Reform gap
LeadingProjected position
MediumConfidence
Why this result?
- The Conservatives lead Reform UK by 10.1 points on current projections.
- The Conservatives are narrowly ahead in this competitive seat; the projected margin is small.
- Reform UK did not stand in this constituency in 2024, so its projection here is estimated from the national picture and is less reliable.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 0.6 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog