Monmouthshire · Wales
Vote Conservatives in Monmouthshire
The Conservatives are ahead of Reform UK and other parties in this constituency and are currently projected to win this seat.
Con–Reform gap: 23.1 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
23.1 ptsCon–Reform gap
LeadingProjected position
HighConfidence
Why this result?
- The Conservatives lead Reform UK by 23.1 points on current projections.
- The Conservatives are currently projected to win this seat with a clear margin.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 6.6 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog