North Warwickshire and Bedworth · England

Vote Reform UK in North Warwickshire and Bedworth

Reform UK is ahead of the Conservatives and other parties in this constituency and is currently projected to win this seat.

Reform UK39.9%

Labour27.1%

Conservative24.3%

Green6.4%

Liberal Democrat2.3%

Con–Reform gap: 15.6 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.

15.6 ptsCon–Reform gap

LeadingProjected position

HighConfidence

Why this result?

Reform UK leads the Conservatives by 15.6 points on current projections.
Reform UK is currently projected to win this seat with a clear margin.
In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 5.4 points.

High confidence · Model v1.2 published 7 October 2026 · Data to 7 October 2026

WhatsApp Share on X Search another constituency

Spotted an error on this page? Tell us.

This is for factual corrections, not for arguing the recommendation. Any correction which changes a result or recommendation will be explained in our next update.

What is wrong?Proposed correctionPublic source (link if possible)

Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog