Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton · England
Vote Reform UK in Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton
Reform UK is the stronger centre-right party in this constituency and has a realistic route to winning it if enough Conservative voters switch (that is, vote tactically).
Con–Reform gap: 18.8 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
18.8 ptsCon–Reform gap
1.4 ptsBehind Other
HighConfidence
Why this result?
- Reform UK leads the Conservatives by 18.8 points on current projections.
- Reform UK is projected 1.4 points behind an independent or other candidate; a consolidated centre-right vote is projected to overtake an independent or other candidate.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 5 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog