Pontypridd · Wales
Vote Reform UK in Pontypridd
Reform UK is the stronger centre-right party in this constituency and has a realistic route to winning it if enough Conservative voters switch (that is, vote tactically).
Con–Reform gap: 14.8 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
14.8 ptsCon–Reform gap
2.4 ptsBehind Plaid Cymru
HighConfidence
Why this result?
- Reform UK leads the Conservatives by 14.8 points on current projections.
- Reform UK is projected 2.4 points behind Plaid Cymru; a consolidated centre-right vote is projected to overtake Plaid Cymru.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 21.3 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog