Vote Right

Richmond and Northallerton · England

Vote Conservatives in Richmond and Northallerton

The Conservatives are ahead of Reform UK and other parties in this constituency and are currently projected to win this seat.

Con–Reform gap: 16.5 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.

16.5 ptsCon–Reform gap
LeadingProjected position
HighConfidence

Why this result?

  1. The Conservatives lead Reform UK by 16.5 points on current projections.
  2. The Conservatives are currently projected to win this seat with a clear margin.
  3. In July 2024 this seat was won by the Conservatives with a majority of 25.1 points.

High confidence · Model v1.2 published 7 October 2026 · Data to 7 October 2026

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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog