South Cotswolds · England
Vote Conservatives in South Cotswolds
The Conservatives are the stronger centre-right party in this constituency and have a realistic route to winning it if enough Reform UK voters switch (that is, vote tactically).
Con–Reform gap: 14.0 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
14.0 ptsCon–Reform gap
8.0 ptsBehind Liberal Democrat
HighConfidence
Why this result?
- The Conservatives lead Reform UK by 14 points on current projections.
- The Conservatives are projected 8 points behind the Liberal Democrats; a consolidated centre-right vote is projected to overtake them.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by the Liberal Democrats with a majority of 9.5 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog