St Helens North · England
Vote Reform UK in St Helens North
Reform UK is the stronger centre-right party in this constituency and has a realistic route to winning it if enough Conservative voters switch (that is, vote tactically).
Con–Reform gap: 25.6 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
25.6 ptsCon–Reform gap
5.2 ptsBehind Labour
HighConfidence
Why this result?
- Reform UK leads the Conservatives by 25.6 points on current projections.
- Reform UK is projected 5.2 points behind Labour; a consolidated centre-right vote is projected to overtake Labour.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by Labour with a majority of 30.1 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog