West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine · Scotland
Vote Conservatives in West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine
The Conservatives are currently the strongest centre-right party in this constituency and have the clearest route to winning.
Con–Reform gap: 12.9 points — outside the 7-point too-close-to-call band.
12.9 ptsCon–Reform gap
LeadingProjected position
MediumConfidence
Why this result?
- The Conservatives lead Reform UK by 12.9 points on current projections.
- The Conservatives are narrowly ahead in this competitive seat; the projected margin is small.
- The most recent dedicated Scotland polling is somewhat dated, so treat this projection with some caution.
- In July 2024 this seat was won by the Conservatives with a majority of 7 points.
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Independent of the Conservatives and Reform UK · Methodology · Independence and funding · Changelog